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Manny’s Fantasy Facts: Always Overlooked Bills

It seems that every season there is this question in my fantasy football league whether there is even a Buffalo Bill worth drafting. For many years, Bills players have been afterthoughts when it came to fantasy drafts, but this year may prove to be different.



Times are changing and the Bills are one of the up and coming teams in the NFL, and there are players that are now being overlooked when it comes to fantasy football drafts. Here are the three players that might have a big impact in the NFL fantasy world this year.

Josh Allen, QB

We all know what Josh Allen accomplished with a mediocre offensive line last year. He led nearly all quarterbacks in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns in his rookie year. If there was work needed to be done, it was in his passing game overall. As a result, his average ADP this year has been around the 150-pick mark, which ranks him as the 22nd quarterback taken in most drafts.

For me, that draft position is too low considering the upgrades that the Bills have made around Josh Allen this year. The addition to the Offensive line will hopefully help Allen reduce his need to run to a certain extent, but he could still manage 700 yards and eight touchdowns in a full, injury-free season. If you watched his rookie season, he ended the year with 10 touchdown passes and 12 interceptions. Eight of those touchdowns came after his return from injury in week 12. Although he threw for seven interceptions in that same span after coming back in week 12, he showed that if he has the time and the talent behind him, he can succeed.

Allen was the number two ranked fantasy quarterback from week 12 to season’s end. With that in mind, putting 22 quarterbacks above him is a stretch and proves that Bills players are always underestimated in fantasy football. Just his strength of schedule has him as the 17th ranked quarterback, which is close to where I think he should be ranked. The track record of the Bills is why Allen is being overlooked, which means whoever drafts him will have a value pick in the later rounds.

Zay Jones, WR

Even with all the wide receivers that the Buffalo Bills brought in this year, Zay Jones is getting overlooked. He had a decent year last year with over 600 yards receiving and seven touchdowns. In the majority of projections this year, experts have Zay Jones ranked as the 70th best receiver in most ADP rankings. Again, the third-year receiver is getting overlooked in a lot of drafts due to the past track record of Bills offensive players.

Watching last year made me realize that as Josh Allen gets more comfortable with the offense and develops chemistry with his receivers, players like Zay Jones will grow into their potential. Last year when Josh Allen came back from injury in week 12, Jones caught five of his seven touchdowns in the last six weeks of the season, confirming that if Allen comes out on fire, so will Zay Jones. The chemistry they developed in 2018 should be apparent in the new season even with the additions of Cole Beasley and John Brown. Zay Jones might be someone that you would want to take as a flyer and hope the chemistry with the quarterback will continue to grow.

Tremaine Edmunds, LB

For all of those IDP players like me, the position of linebacker is very important for your team. This will be the breakout year for Tremaine Edmunds. Last year, he compiled 80 tackles and 41 assists, but this season you might want to forget some of the bigger name linebackers in the NFL and take a chance on Edmunds.

Another year will make him feel more comfortable as the leader of the defense, and his overall game will be more complete under Leslie Frazier’s guidance. He’s one year older and more mature, and the growth in the mental aspect of the game will do wonders for Edmunds. And let’s now forget that getting Matt Milano back from injury will help greatly. This duo will be a force this year in the NFL.

Look for Edmunds to amass over 100 solo tackles this year with around 150-170 total tackles. I also see his takeaway game picking up this year with four interceptions at minimum. He has been averaging as the 9th ranked linebacker in most drafts, but I might reach for him a little as I think he might bring more value than the likes of C.J. Mosley, Lavonte David, and Leighton Vander Esch.