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Is the NFL MVP race Josh Allen’s to lose?



nfl mvp race

Josh Allen is in the NFL MVP race, and it’s no longer okay to say he’s not. Buffalo is known for two things: Buffalo Wings and Buffalo Bills football. For the better part of almost three decades, the Buffalo Bills have been at the butt end of almost every NFL football joke known to mankind.

Then the unthinkable happened in 2018: the Buffalo Bills drafted a Division II quarterback out of Wyoming. 

The Buffalo Bills continued to hear the jokes and jeers from other NFL teams. “Why didn’t they take Josh Rosen, he’s the most pro-ready quarterback in the draft?”

Yet Josh Allen heard these quotes. He heard everything the media said about him. “Josh Allen is inaccurate. You can’t teach a quarterback that. He’ll never amount to anything. Buffalo made a mistake.” 

Josh Allen is in the NFL MVP race

Let’s dive into the last three NFL MVP race award winners and compare the first four games of the season the year they won MVP to Josh Allen’s 2020 season.

Tom Brady 

Josh Allen is the MVP
Nancy Lane/MediaNews Group/Boston Herald

Tom Brady won the last of his three MVP awards in 2017. Tom Brady is considered by some to be the greatest of all time. How does Josh Allen’s 2020 campaign compare to the GOAT’s MVP season? 

This is only a small sample size because it’s the first month of the NFL season, but in the NFL, every game matters. Tom Brady’s first game of the 2017 season came against Kansas City where he had 36 attempts with 16 completions and 267 yards passing.

Brady ended up losing the first game of the season leaving the media to claim father time had caught up with him.

Tom Brady’s second game was light years better than the first one. He played the New Orleans Saints, who would go on to become a playoff team. He absolutely torched the secondary to a tune of 39 attempts with 30 completions and 447 passing yards with three touchdowns.

Brady ended up getting the win, bringing his season total to 1-1 and stamping his name clearly on the NFL MVP race ballet. 

Brady continued to dominate good teams as he went into a week three match up with the Houston Texans. Tom Brady put up 35 attempts with 25 completions and 378 yards with five touchdowns.

This was supposed to be the year that Tom Brady fell off. Instead, Tom Brady improved to 2-1 on the season, as New England eyed the playoffs once again. 

In week four, Brady went head to head with Cam Newton’s Carolina Panthers. Tom Brady put up 45 attempts, 32 competitions with 307 passing yards and two touchdowns. Unfortunately, Brady lost this game bringing his win/loss record to 2-2 in the first month of the season.

Brady’s end total for the first four games of the 2017 season ended at 155 attempts with 103 competitions, 1,399 passing yards, and 10 touchdowns. 

Brady’s first month of the season left much to be desired, yet… he ended up winning the NFL MVP race. Why couldn’t 2020 be Josh Allen’s year? 

Patrick Mahomes 

Josh Allen is MVP
Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports

Patrick Mahomes is a marvel of a quarterback. You simply can’t stop watching him and every throw he makes. He makes everything look easy. Mahomes is the next MVP winner we’re going to examine.

Mahomes started the 2018 season against LA Chargers winning the game easily and ending with a stat line of 27 attempts with 15 completions and 256 yards with four touchdowns. This is the game that welcomed the young star to the NFL. Mahomes started his NFL career 1-0. 

The second game of the season saw Mahomes go absolutely bananas. He attempted 28 passes with 23 completions with 326 passing yards and six total touchdowns.

The kid could not be stopped, and the MVP voters quickly took notice. The steam picked up for Patrick Mahomes to win the NFL MVP race. Patrick Mahomes won the game moving him to 2-0. 

Week three, Mahomes didn’t let up again, as he took San Francisco to the woodshed. Mahomes stat line included 38 attempts with 24 completions, 314 passing yards, and three touchdowns.

The three touchdowns broke the NFL passing record for most touchdowns in the first three weeks of the season. Patrick Mahomes had control of the NFL MVP race, and he never looked back. 

The last game we’re going to look at is week four against the Denver Broncos, a division rival. Mahomes won this game as well, moving him to 4-0 with a stat line of 45 attempts with 28 completions, 304 yards, and one touchdown. 

Mahomes ended the first quarter of the NFL season with 138 attempts with 90 completions, 1,200 passing yards, 14 touchdowns, and one rushing touchdown with a perfect 4-0 record.  Why couldn’t 2020 be Josh Allen’s year?

Lamar Jackson 

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Lamar Jackson went the Patrick Mahomes route when it came to winning the NFL MVP race. He captured the hearts of America after week one of the 2019 season and never let them go. 

Jackson’s welcome to the NFL happened in his first game of the 2019 season. He took the Baltimore Ravens offense and embarrassed the Miami Dolphins to a tune of 20 attempts with 17 completions for 324 yards and five touchdowns.

The media immediately praised the Ravens for selecting him in the back half of the first round in the 2018 NFL Draft. Jackson had stamped his ticket to the NFL MVP race talk. Lamar Jackson started the season 1-0. 

Week two saw Jackson face an Arizona Cardinals team that kept things competitive. Jackson attempted 37 passes with 24 completions for 272 passing yards and two touchdowns.

Jackson never saw 300 passing yards again that season, with 272 being the closest he got to that mark again. Nevertheless, Jackson improved to 2-0 on the young season. 

Week three, Jackson walked into a buzz saw, competing against the then reigning NFL MVP, Patrick Mahomes. Jackson attempted 43 passes with 22 completions and 267 yards with zero touchdowns, losing his first game of the season and bringing his win record to 2-1.

Week four wasn’t much different for Lamar Jackson, as he went up against the Cleveland Browns, a division rival who, like Buffalo, has been a laughing stock for most of their franchise’s history.

Lamar Jackson attempted 34 passes with 24 completions for 247 yards passing and three touchdowns. Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens lost this game, sinking Jackson to 2-2 in the first quarter of the 2019 NFL Season. 

Jackson’s stats through the first four weeks ended at 134 attempts with 87 completions for 1,110 yards and 10 passing touchdowns with just one rushing touchdown. Lamar Jackson also had two interceptions during that span. Why couldn’t 2020 be Josh Allen’s year?

Now we’ve been through the last three NFL MVP winners and I’ve constantly typed, “Why couldn’t 2020 be Josh Allen’s year?” … well, why couldn’t it?

Let’s dive into Josh Allen’s stats, so you can compare them to the other three winners and see how it shakes out. 

Josh Allen

nfl mvp race

Josh Allen started week one of the 2020 season against the New York Jets. All of Buffalo held their collective breath praying that Josh Allen would take the leap that so many people doubted he would.

What did Allen do? He attempted 46 passes with 33 completions for 312 passing yards, two passing touchdowns, and one rushing touchdown. Week one mark Josh Allen’s first game with over 300 passing yards.

Yet that shouldn’t matter because Lamar Jackson only had one 300-yard passing game the season he won the MVP. Allen started the season 1-0 

Week two, Allen faced yet another division game against the Miami Dolphins. Most people refused to see Allen as an ascending talent. Instead, they mocked his first 300-yard passing game.

What did Allen do? He did what he normally does. He listened, and he followed his week one performance with a stellar week two to the tune of 35 attempts with 24 completions for 415 passing yards and four touchdowns. He moved the Buffalo Bills to 2-0. 

The media narrative was that is was just the Dolphins and the Jets. So what does Allen do? In week three, Josh Allen faced a stout LA Rams team and decided to lead a fourth-quarter comeback to will his team to a win. Does that sound like something an MVP would do?

Allen ended the game with a stat line of 33 attempts with 24 completions for 311 yards, four passing touchdowns, and one very questionable interception. Josh Allen also added one touchdown on the ground. 

Week four saw the media apologizing to Josh Allen. Allen played the Las Vegas Raiders. He played against former Fresno State star, Derek Carr.

So what did Allen do? He put up 34 attempts with 24 completions for 288 yards, two touchdowns, and one rushing touchdown.

Josh Allen is an NFL MVP race candidate 

How do Josh Allen’s stats compare to the other three?

148 attempts with 105 completions, 1,326 yards through the air, and 12 passing touchdowns with three rushing touchdowns. That brings his total touchdowns thus far to 15.

Why couldn’t 2020 be Josh Allen’s MVP year?

Josh Allen heard all the hate. He heard the criticisms. He heard it, and he put in the hard work. He just wants it more than anyone, more than anything.

Put some respect on his name!