Buffalo Bills vs. Cincinnati Bengals: How the Bills Will Win!

Key To The Game

Run the ball, work the middle of the field, take smart shots deep.

Here are some key statistics from Cincinnati’s 41-17 loss last week at the hands of the San Francisco 49ers:

Quarterback:

  • Jimmy Garoppolo: 17/25, 296 yards, 3 touchdowns

Running Backs:

  • Matt Breida: 12 Carries, 121 yards
  • Raheem Mostert: 13 carries, 83 yards
  • Jeff Wilson Jr.: 10 carries, 34 yards, 2 touchdowns

Slot Wide Receiver, Tight Ends, Running Backs:

  • Deebo Samuel: 5 catches, 86 yards, 1 touchdown
  • Raheem Mostert: 3 catches, 68 yards, 1 touchdown
  • George Kittle: 3 catches, 54 yards

Outside Wide Receivers:

  • Marquise Goodwin: 3 catches, 77 yards, 1 touchdown

It doesn’t take a rocket scientist to see what the San Francisco 49ers did to throttle the Bengals last week. They ran the ball 35 times for over 200 yards and two touchdowns. They worked the middle of the field to their slot receiver, tight end, and running backs. They wore down a very thin Cincinnati Bengals defense and then took smart calculated risks over the top. That is the recipe for the Bills to be successful this Sunday.

Welcome to the 716!

What To Look For On Offense

The Running Game

It will be difficult for the Bills to run the ball 35 times against the Bengals defense as the 49ers did a week ago, as they will likely be without Devin Singletary with a hamstring injury.

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Not looking great for Singletary but this means that it’s more of a hamstring strain than cramping. I don’t expect him to play Sunday. #Bills https://t.co/dNC4Y0HOcc

That being said it will be up to Frank Gore to take a majority of the carries and act as a combination of the roles Matt Breida and Jeff Wilson Jr. played last week vs these Bengals by moving the chains and getting the ball into the end zone. There will be holes up the middle this week for Gore to take advantage of.

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Watch Preston Brown here… pic.twitter.com/5r0cjccC8p

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Jeff Wilson Jr. up the middle for the TD to make it 21-7! #SFvsCIN#GoNiners pic.twitter.com/GGOl0MuXo6

TJ Yeldon, who caught 53 passes last season, should get his first real game action of the season this Sunday. He could be a fantasy football sleeper filling the Raheem Mostert role as both a running and receiving threat. The Bengals linebackers are not very good in space and Yeldon could be a tough match-up for them out of the backfield in coverage.

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Bengals LB ranks (PFF) out of 58 qualifying41. Preston Brown54. Nick Vigil

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Nick Vigil making a secondary read pic.twitter.com/vqCJtUatrN

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Raheem Mostert goes 39 yards on the screen pass for the @49ers TD! #SFvsCIN📺: FOX📱: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app pic.twitter.com/pLDkQrguQN

Working The Middle of the Field

The Bills need to “Feed the Beas” this weekend. Cole Beasley should easily see 10-15 targets in this game. Nickel Cornerback B.W. Webb is banged up and did not practice Wednesday, which is advantage #1. The Bills should consider putting Beasley in the backfield as an H-Back in the shotgun to create a second advantage… Cole Beasley vs a linebacker. As you saw above, the Bengals linebackers cannot cover well, and the middle of the field could be open for Beasley ALL. GAME. LONG.

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49ers WR Deebo Samuel shined today. He led the Niners in targets, receptions, and yards.7 Targets, 5 Receptions, 87 Yards, TD2 Rushes, 7 YardsBeautiful play-calling by Kyle Shanahan. This is exactly how Deebo should be used.Week 2 Deebo Highlights🎥: pic.twitter.com/1aJk5rq8dL

Speaking of the middle of the field, this may be a good week for a Buffalo Bills Tight End to start separating themselves from the pack. Tommy Sweeney has had a few clutch grabs this season. Dawson Knox has as well, although he had a huge drop last week. One player that could come in and provide a calming presence at the position is veteran Tyler Kroft. The former Bengal practiced in full for the first time Wednesday since breaking his foot during the off-season. Nothing motivates a player quite like revenge. My bold prediction… if Kroft plays, he scores a touchdown.

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I’m just here for the Tyler Kroft Revenge Game… pic.twitter.com/4zDEpCzNqR

Take Calculated Risks Down The Field

Jimmy G threw for 296 yards on only 17 completed passes. This was due in part to the 49ers taking calculated shots down the field and the Bengals defense being susceptible to the play-action. Get John brown lined up one on one with Dre Kirkpatrick and he can surely beat him deep a time or two. Allen just needs to hit him on the numbers, not overthrow him by 7 yards.

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Long jump TD celebration from Marquise Goodwin 🙌 pic.twitter.com/VSacZ1ZfCC

What To Look For On Defense

Zac Taylor comes from the Sean McVay coaching tree. Throughout two games the Bengals have been one of the most pass happy teams in the league, mostly due to an utter lack of ability to run the ball. Starting running back Joe Mixon is averaging a measly 1.6 yards per carry. That makes life more difficult for Taylor who likes to “scheme people open” and utilize play-action passes.

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What if Andy Dalton was a good QB this entire time… and Marvin Lewis was just a bad coach? pic.twitter.com/MbQ4jcnAsX

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Not a good year so far to be a QB facing the #Bills defense. Week 1: Sam Darnold gets MonoWeek 2: Eli Manning benchedWeek 3: Andy Dalton ???

The Biggest Threats

Be afraid of John Ross. His deep speed will give number one corner Tre White fits all day. White will likely need help from a safety over the top, which will open up holes in the middle for another threat, Tyler Boyd. The combination of these two men could be the only thing stopping the Bills from easily walking out of Orchard Park with a win Sunday.

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Target leaders after two weeks:26 – Michael Thomas25 – Keenan Allen24 – Larry Fitzgerald, DJ Moore, Sammy Watkins23 – Jamison Crowder, Zach Ertz22 – Evan Engram21 – OBJ, Nuk, Julio, Tyler Boyd20 – Christian Kirk, A-Rob, John Ross, Manny Sanders

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John Ross shot out of a cannon 💨.(🎥: @nfl). pic.twitter.com/fwDOi1PjzI

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Everyone is in awe of Tyler Boyd’s ability to get open, but even when he’s not, he’s still making plays.🔥He has the most contested catches in the #NFL (5) bringing down 100% of his contested targets.Underrated. pic.twitter.com/BAUMe4a3v2

Tyler Boyd will be a tough cover for the Bills from the slot, perhaps too tough for Siran Neal. I believe we will see a lot of Kevin Johnson Sunday lined up one on one with Tyler Boyd in the slot.

Don’t Stack The Box, Overload Blitz

The Bills should play it somewhat safe on Sunday and consistently drop six players back into coverage to deal with the threats of Ross and Boyd. The offensive line of the Bengals is the worst in football, and, on top of that, they are dealing with injuries. Cordy Glenn, Andre Smith, and Michael Jordan could all miss the game.

The Bills are capable of generating a pass rush with Hughes, Murphy, Lawson, and Johnson without having to sacrifice an extra rusher. Oliver and the two Phillips’ should easily be able to add pressure up the middle without assistance as well. Star and Edmunds should help the unit stay stout against the run, but even if this approach gives Mixon a little more room to run, it should be canceled out by the effect dropping so many players back could have… players in place to get turnovers.

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Zac Taylor just announced the #Bengals starting OL vs Seattle:LT Cordy GlennLG Michael Jordan C Trey HopkinsRG John MillerRR Bobby Hart

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Bobby Hart Highlight Reel: pic.twitter.com/zOkPOTTmb8

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Madden20 is the most realistic Madden in YEARS. Watch Bobby Hart.(video via @Chris_Rosnell) #NewDEY pic.twitter.com/Mcq02W0AlS

Prediction: Bills 31, Bengals 23

The Bills will utilize the road map laid out by the 49ers and ride the wave of the cheering fans to get a relatively easy win. I believe the Bengals have the firepower to ring up some garbage time points to make the score appear closer than the game actually will be. The Bengals are banged up and the Bills need to control the clock and keep their defense on the field. If they do, there will be opportunities for big plays down the field when the starters are gassed and have no true backups to speak of.

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Just a couple dudes dinged. #Bengals pic.twitter.com/TPh09O9g34

Check out The Bills Guys on the Buffalo Fanatics Podcasting Network to hear my thoughts on why this will not be a “trap game” for the Buffalo Bills.

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